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Saturday, September 18, 2010

September 18 - Boise State vs. Wyoming

Game: Boise St. vs. Wyoming
Line-O/U: 52
Pick: Over
Reason: Why the over? Several, several reasons. How about because the Boise State defense allowed 30 points in their first game? Or that Wyoming, who won't even be able to come close to containing the Boise State offense, allowed 27 points (average) in their past two games. Texas put up 34 points on them and Boise State has a much, much more potent offense. The Virginia Tech win doesn't look as good now after their loss to James Madison and Va Tech put up 30 points on Boise State. Boise State is the #3 team in the nation and their defense isn't much of a "prize". In fact, their ranking is solely dependent on how well their offense is and how well they perform week in and week out. Both of these teams have mediocre defenses at best and their offenses are well above average. Dave Christensen, the head coach of Wyoming, was the offensive coordinator under Gary Pinkel at Missouri when Chase Daniel was in the running for Heisman. He runs a spread offense that despite their talent has a chance to put up points in any game, against any team. I see this game being a shoot out for both teams, and even more impressive, I think Boise State can go over the 52 points all by themselves. Should be an entertaining one so be ready for some nice offense, and not so nice defense. The pick is OVER 52 points in this game. FOUR STAR PICK ****

Monday, September 13, 2010

Week One - Monday Night Slammer (Game 2)

Game: San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Line-O/U: -4
Pick: San Diego Chargers
Reason: The Chiefs don't have half the talent that the Chargers have. With Rivers behind center and rookie Ryan Matthews ready for his debut, the Chargers look like they are ready to hand it to the Chiefs. Not only will the Chargers be able to run it with a 4.0 average YPC (yards per carry), but they will also have over 300 passing yards with Rivers slinging the ball to Gates and Floyd. Also, the special teams for San Diego is extremely dangerous with Sproles ready to take off. The offense of the Chiefs is their best unit and the reason Twitpicks is so "high" on the Chargers is because of Matt Cassel. Cassel will be ready throw some balls to the wrong team, and the Chargers are going to make him throw because they will be focused on the dangerous Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones. If the Chargers can stop this highly efficient rushing attack, then they will win by two scores or more. If not, this game may be closer then people think, but in the end the Chargers will prevail by at least the spread.

Week One - Monday Night Slammer

Game: New York Jets vs. Baltimore Ravens
Line-O/U: 36.5 (total)
Pick: Over
Reason: First, let's start off by pointing out that Revis just came back to the Jets and he may be a bit rusty, and even more, Ed Reed is out for the Ravens. The Ravens have many new weapons on offense with Boldin and Housh, but even more dangerous is the now experienced Ray Rice. Rice is looking to start off the season with a 100+ yard game, which is very likely given that the Jets have the defending #1 pass defense. Everyone is so hyped about Cromartie, but people need to understand he is tough to coach, and if things start off in the Ravens favor his frustration will lead to even more points for the Ravens. The only worry for the over is the performance of Mark Sanchez. He isn't nearly up there with even the "good" quarterbacks, but his mistakes may benefit the total points with a possible pick six, or two (not an official prediction). I think people are underestimating the offense of these two teams and overestimating their defenses. The total should exceed 36.5 points tonight and that is the official Twitpicks "Monday Night Slammer".